Developments in the Doha Round and WTO dispute settlement: some implications for EU agricultural policy
The University of Reading, Reading, UK
Corresponding author: Alan Swinbank, School of Agriculture, Policy and Development, The University of Reading, Reading RG6 6AR, UK. Telephone: (44)118-9318967. Fax: (44)118-9756467. E-mail: A.Swinbank{at}reading.ac.uk.
Progress in the Doha Round is assessed against the changes to the common agricultural policy (CAP) brought about by the Fischler reforms of 20032004, and that proposed for sugar. An elimination of export subsidies could place EU exports of processed foods at a competitive disadvantage because of high sugar and milk prices. Provided the single payment scheme falls within the green box, the likely new limits on domestic support should not be problematic for the post-Fischler CAP. However, an ambitious market access package could open up EU markets and bring pressure for further reform. If there is no Doha agreement, existing provisions will continue to apply, but without the protection of the Peace Clause; and increased litigation is likely. Further CAP reform is to be expected.
Keywords: agriculture, Doha, EU, protection, tariffs, trade, WTO
JEL classification: F13, Q17, Q18
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